Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Shimabukuro has a slight advantage in second serve points won, with a rate of 47.99% compared to Simakin's 46.68%.
• Despite Shimabukuro's edge in second serve performance, Simakin has a marginally better return game, winning 45.81% of opponent's second serve points compared to Shimabukuro's 45.5%.
• In first serve return points, Shimabukuro leads with 26.34%, whereas Simakin has 24%.
• Under pressure, Shimabukuro performs slightly better, saving 56.93% of breakpoints versus Simakin's 53.56%.
• Overall match wins in the last year favor Simakin, who boasts a 74.42% win rate, whereas Shimabukuro has won 53.85% of his matches.
• Which player performs better on their optimum surface? Shimabukuro excels on Grass with a 62% win rate, while Simakin is strongest on Hard courts at 69%.
• When considering event level played, Simakin shows better performance in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 73.91% compared to Shimabukuro's 56.82%.
• Shimabukuro has faced tougher opponents, with an average ranking of 252.5, while Simakin's opponents average at 370.36.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Simakin has a higher chance of winning, with a 50% success rate compared to Shimabukuro's 43%.
• Shimabukuro is more effective at converting breakpoints, achieving a rate of 36.52% against Simakin’s 30.13%.

Editorial Prediction (August 29, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match between Shimabukuro and Simakin promises to be a compelling contest, with each player showcasing different strengths in their recent performances.

Shimabukuro demonstrates superior second serve performance and breakpoint conversion, which could prove crucial in pivotal moments. Additionally, his ability to save breakpoints under pressure underscores his resilience during close matches.

Conversely, Simakin stands out with a stronger overall win percentage over the last year and better performance when taking matches to deciding sets. Despite facing opponents with lower average rankings, his success rate in tournaments speaks to his competitive consistency.

Considering both the statistical edges and recent trends, Simakin appears to be the more likely winner of this matchup, leveraging his consistent match-winning momentum and experience in high-pressure situations to potentially secure the victory.